24 August 2026
Open-weight AI model usage doubled while closed-weight still grew faster
First reported
Exponential View ran this on .
- Open-weight models, publicly available code that anyone can run, doubled their share of AI inference tokens over twelve months.
- Closed-weight models, proprietary systems like OpenAI's GPT, still grew seven times faster in absolute terms during the same period.
- The two categories now approach equal market share despite closed-weight models expanding more rapidly in total usage volume.
How it was covered
Exponential ViewAzeem Azhar
The share of open-weight inference tokens has doubled over twelve months, approaching a 1:1 ratio with closed-weight tokens. Despite this growth, closed-weight tokens grew sevenfold in the same period, suggesting rapid expansion across both categories.